Forex Forecast Polls
The Forex Forecast is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.
Weekly Forecast
EUR/USD: The ECB disappointed, will the Fed follow such a lead?
The European Central Bank failed to clarify its new forward guidance. The US Federal Reserve could hint at tapering before year-end. EUR/USD is technically bearish and could pierce the 1.1700 level.
GBP/USD: Britain's Big Bang gamble, Fed decision critical for next moves
GBP/USD has tumbled to five-month lows as covid fears grip markets. The Fed decision, Brexit news and covid developments are set to rock cable. Late July's daily chart is showing bears gaining ground.
Musk changes tune on BTC as adoption and miners continue to make headway
BTC continues to rise after briefly dipping below the $30,000 level. Musk reveals his opinions on the big crypto since Tesla stopped accepting BTC payments. Core Scientific mining firm announced its plans to list on the NASDAQ.
USD/JPY: Fed decision, covid in the Olympics and yields to shake the pair
USD/JPY has been trading in tandem with US yields, falling as fear grips markets. The Fed decision, US GDP and the rapid spread of the Delta variant are all eyed. Late July's daily chart is painting a mixed picture.
AUD/USD: No respite for the aussie ahead of Fed
Deteriorating economic conditions in Australia hurt the aussie. Eyes on the US Federal Reserve, as it may hint at tapering. AUD/USD is set to extend its decline in the upcoming days.
XAU/USD bears await break below 100-day SMA at $1,796
Gold closed near the lower limit of the weekly channel. Additional losses are likely if XAU/USD breaks below the 100-day SMA. FOMC meeting and US Q2 GDP data highlight next week’s economic calendar.
WHAT IS THE FOREX FORECAST POLL?
The Forex Forecast Poll is a sentiment tool that highlights near- and medium-term price expectations from leading market experts.
- Unique sentiment indicator with a 5-year history
- For 10 currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, GBPJPY, EURJPY, EURGBP)
- Survey conducted every Friday and published at 15:00 GMT
- Serves all time horizons: 1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter - includes an average price for each time horizon
- Followed by traders, market commentators as well as academics
The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.
HOW TO READ THE GRAPHS?
Besides the table with all participants’ individual prediction, a graphic representation aggregates and visualizes the data: the Bullish/Bearish/Sideways line shows the percentage of our contributors on each of these outlook biases.
This graph is available for each time horizon (1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter). We also indicate the average price forecast as well as the average bias.
WHY SHOULD I USE IT?
Our unique Forex Forecast poll offers you:
- A sentiment indicator which delivers actionable price levels, not merely “mood” or “positioning” indications. Traders can check if there is unanimity among the surveyed experts - if there is excessive speculator sentiment driving a market - or if there are divergences among them. When sentiment is not at extremes, traders get actionable price targets to trade upon. When there is deviation between actual market rate and value reflected in forecasted rate, there is usually an opportunity to enter the market.
- No lag in the data: Contrary to other indicators, there is no delay.
- A very useful tool to combine with other types of analysis of technical nature or based on fundamental macro data, like trading positions, rates table or live chart.
- Significant sentiment data, based on a representative sample of 25 to 50 leading trading advisors for 5 years. Do not follow a single guru but rather a balanced group of well chosen experts. The Forex Forecast Poll offers a condensed version of several expert's opinions. Only outlooks are considered that have been committed to publication and therefore have an influence on the market.
- A tool for Contrarian thinking: People instinctively follow the impulses of the crowd. Sentiment indicators, in turn, lead to “contrarian” thinking. You can read sentiment extremes and avoid being one of the herd. Contrast own opinions and price outlook with a group of leading trading advisors and money managers.
- A tool to build strategies upon prediction data: Find patterns data for instance if a trend is gaining or losing energy.
EUR/USD Forecast | GBP/USD Forecast | USD/JPY Forecast | AUD/USD Forecast |
USD/CAD Forecast | GBP/JPY Forecast | NZD/USD Forecast | EUR/JPY Forecast |